Egypt is getting into a dangerous period. The exclusion of President Mohamed Mursi - the country\'s initial freely-elected leader - and also the Muslim Brotherhood once only one year in power cements divisions and confirms the army\'s role as influential person.A swift come back to civilian democratic rule is crucial however the trail is fraught with social and economic risks.
The fact that such a large amount of of Egypt\'s high political and non secular figures support the army\'s shift set up underscores Mursi\'s failure to deliver on his promise to create Associate in Nursing inclusive Egypt. The shoddy Islamist-leaning constitution has been suspended. The president of the Supreme Constitutional Court, backed by a technocratic government, can rule till early presidential and parliamentary elections, that no date has been set.
But recent elections might not end in a much better outcome. It\'s unclear if the Brotherhood can participate, or resort to violence. The danger is that moderate members of the long-repressed movement is also radicalised by the newest events. If the liberal opposition is unable to persuade the Brotherhood\'s supporters, Egypt may find yourself being dominated by the ultra-conservative Moslem Nour party, the country\'s second biggest political cluster. in this event, democracy may not last long.
Egypt\'s money position is additionally deeply unsure. Foreign reserves area unit dangerously low and also the pound continues to depreciate. The International fund would realize it laborious to lend to the country whereas it\'s in transition. And the $1.3 billion that the Egyptian military receives from the us every year is also suspended if the U.S. administration formally defines Mursi\'s removal as a coup.
Qatar, a key sponsor of the Brotherhood, may tip Egypt into disaster if it set to withdraw a number of the $8 billion in support it\'s provided in fetters and financial organization deposits. Asian country and alternative Gulf countries may step in however is also reluctant to try to to therefore till it\'s clear World Health Organization is answerable, in line with patriarch Capital Markets.
Another huge worry is that the result the Brotherhood\'s social process can wear Egypt\'s neighbours. Moderate Islamists currently rule out African nation and also the Brotherhood is one in every of the foremost necessary Syrian opposition teams in exile. If Egypt lives up to its name as a regional trendsetter, Associate in Nursing Arab winter could lie ahead.
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